Risk and diversification: not putting every egg in one basket

No single stock is immune to bad news. No sector rises forever. No investor is right every time. Diversification is the pragmatic response to that reality: it lowers risk without proportionally lowering expected return.

Three axes of diversification

Three dimensions shape a balanced portfolio: across securities (at least 6-8 lines), across sectors (banks, telecoms, energy, real estate, consumer goods), and across asset classes (equities, bonds, money market). Each axis cuts a specific risk.

Why a 6-8 line minimum

Mathematically, idiosyncratic risk (specific to one company) drops sharply between one and four lines, then more slowly between five and ten. Beyond that, the marginal benefit shrinks. For a Moroccan retail investor, six to eight well-chosen stocks deliver an excellent simplicity-to-diversification ratio.

The fake-diversification trap

Owning ATW, BCP, and CIH isn't really diversifying — all three are Moroccan banks exposed to the same factors (rates, GDP growth, credit quality). True diversification mixes weakly correlated sectors: a bank + a telecom operator + a cement player + an insurer react differently to a macro shock.

How much foreign equity?

For a Moroccan retail investor, direct access to foreign markets from a local securities account is limited. OPCVMs are the most practical international vehicle. Allocating 10-20 % of the equity pocket abroad improves diversification without operational complexity.

When to rebalance

Quarterly or annual rebalancing is enough for most retail investors. The simple rule: if any line drifts more than 5-7 points from its target (e.g. target 10 %, reality 17 %), trade back toward the target. That forces you to sell what has run up and add to what has lagged — the exact opposite of the emotional reflex.

In practice

A simple spreadsheet, updated four times a year, is enough to track allocation. No fancy software required. Discipline matters more than tools.